CAMP DARAPANAN, Maguindanao, Philippines --
Several slouching Moro rebels spring to
attention as visitors approach the makeshift
meeting room in a corner of their camp.
Inside, Murad Ibrahim's bookish appearance
and gentle voice belie his status as the head of
the country's largest Moro rebel group and one
of the country's most powerful men.
"We are solid," Murad says during an
interview, expressing certainty that he has the
full support of his at least 12,000 fighters.
Shows of unity are more important than ever
for the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) as
it returns to peace talks with the government in
Kuala Lumpur after a three-year break and tries
to shake off allegations that its camps are
training grounds for militants.
But deepening divisions within the MILF
between moderates and Middle East-influenced
radicals could turn out to be one of the biggest
obstacles to ending the 30-year-old conflict.
The risk is that the MILF may splinter if its
leadership signs a peace deal that falls short
of the long-cherished goal of independence
for Muslim-majority areas, leaving Mindanao
stuck in conflict and poverty.
"I think the MILF is having a lot of trouble
in their own ranks," said Zachary Abuza, a
professor at Boston's Simmons College and expert
on the Mindanao conflict.
"There's growing radicalism within the MILF
that's scaring the older generation. At the same
time, the general population -- their
constituency -- is getting really war-weary," he
said.
Division
Division in the MILF helps explain why it has
found it so difficult to address international
concerns about its links with militant groups
such as Southeast Asia's Jemaah Islamiyah (JI).
Analysts say individual commanders may have
kept links with the al-Qaeda-linked JI, which
has been blamed for a string of attacks in
Southeast Asia, including the 2002 bombings of
nightclubs on Indonesia's Bali island, without
the MILF leadership's permission.
Despite expressing confidence in his group's
unity, Murad voiced concern that the older
generation may not be able to control a younger,
more radical breed of MILF fighters for much
longer.
"What we are afraid of is that the younger
generation will replace the older generation of
leaders and because they are more involved in
the war, the possibility of them turning radical
is very, very high," he said on Saturday.
Power struggle
Murad, 54, is deeply respected within the
MILF, but is seen as more moderate than his
predecessor, charismatic preacher Salamat Hashim
who died of a heart attack last year.
In Kidapawan City, a group perceived to be
siding with the MILF yesterday warned the rebel
organization against rushing a final peace deal
with the government.
Nashreen Pangadapun, secretary general of the
Maradeka (Liberation), said history might repeat
itself if the MILF signed an accord.
In the early '80s, Salamat, then deputy chair
of the Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF),
founded the MILF with other ranking leaders
because of the perception that MNLF chair Nur
Misuari was veering away from their original
demand of independence for the Bangsamoro.
In 1996, Misuari signed a peace deal with the
administration of President Fidel Ramos and
accepted the Autonomous Region in Muslim
Mindanao as a political settlement while the
MILF continued to wage war against the
government.
"Should a negotiated peace agreement be
signed in the fashion the leaders of the MNLF
did, another fundamentalist Moro group might
sprout out of the MILF," Pangadapun said.
More radical
He said the new group would be more radical.
"Our fear is that Murad is losing his influence
over his people. That his (leadership) is
getting weak and if that will continue the
radicals will lord it over the leaders of the
MILF," he said.
Pangadapun said some MILF leaders were
already wary that Murad was becoming another
Misuari.
"Their fear is that Murad will sign an
agreement which is not reflective of the
political aspiration of the Bangsamoro people,"
the Maradeka leader said.
Murad earlier said peace in Mindanao was
"within our grasp" and that the MILF was "ready
to sign with the government a negotiated
political solution that is just, lasting and
comprehensive in order to terminate the age-old
conflict in Mindanao."
"The most civilized and practical way to
solve the Moro problem is through a negotiated
political settlement," Murad said.
Pangadapun said the agreement, which could
largely be based on the government's draft
proposal, could leave the Bangsamoro people with
a sense of loss.
"The peace accord might not be very
comprehensive ... (and) would not satisfy the
desire of the people to put up a genuine
self-governance," Pangadapun said.
Malaysian monitors
Murad has welcomed the arrival of Malaysian
ceasefire monitors who are helping to end a
bitter and lengthy conflict with government
forces. The Malaysian team arrived in the
Philippines on Saturday and were formally
deployed in key areas in Mindanao yesterday.
MILF spokesperson Eid Kabalu said there was a
good possibility that the 51-man contingent
would visit Mt. Kararao, alleged lair of some 60
JI terrorists purportedly being coddled by some
members of the rebel group.
"It's not in the itinerary but the peace
monitors could always decide to go there if they
see the need," Kabalu told the Inquirer.
He said the United States and Australia
should also participate in the inspection if
only to "once and for all put to rest
allegations that the MILF is coddling JI
terrorists."
Murad said there would be no peace with
Manila if sections in the military remained
intent on fanning allegations that the MILF
sheltered militants from JI.
"Frankly, we feel there are people in
government who don't want peace in Mindanao,"
Murad said, stressing that while President
Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo appeared sincere in
negotiating, unnamed officials could be
"manipulating the situation."
"This kind of position ruins the
confidence-building process and disrupts the
negotiations," he said.
US involvement
Continuing allegations about the JI may be
designed to get the US military involved in
Mindanao, a scenario that could cause further
bloodshed, he warned.
Murad said that after the Sept. 11 terrorist
attacks in the United States in 2001, the MILF
closed all its camps in Mindanao to foreigners.
However, he admitted that in the past,
Islamic scholars from the Middle East and even
Europe and the United States were "ordinary
visitors" to Camp Abubakar, once the MILF's main
stronghold in Mindanao.